Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.765795 0.898070 1.041022 1.206358 1.391656 1.592265 1.825200
2025-08-17 0.523194 0.698991 0.908014 1.171705 1.492125 1.865443 2.329618
2025-08-24 0.385446 0.581268 0.835075 1.180188 1.628558 2.182382 2.908235
2025-08-31 0.287413 0.486787 0.766854 1.174111 1.734678 2.461776 3.456478
2025-09-07 0.232467 0.436908 0.745021 1.219136 1.903262 2.825828 4.130793
2025-09-14 0.188152 0.391255 0.718477 1.248857 2.047159 3.160969 4.782308
2025-09-21 0.144466 0.334856 0.663799 1.225833 2.107834 3.379694 5.282446
2025-09-28 0.119375 0.304869 0.645481 1.254007 2.242492 3.706581 5.945383
2025-10-05 0.098935 0.278228 0.627509 1.278410 2.370066 4.026919 6.610917
2025-10-12 0.081954 0.253943 0.609052 1.298110 2.488998 4.337795 7.273674
2025-10-19 0.065798 0.226498 0.579359 1.293210 2.565034 4.584545 7.849208
2025-10-26 0.050696 0.196349 0.538363 1.261577 2.591507 4.752744 8.310314
2025-11-02 0.040600 0.176362 0.516018 1.264101 2.679624 5.027865 8.955402
2025-11-09 0.030202 0.150912 0.476429 1.227742 2.695926 5.188025 9.430023
2025-11-16 0.024199 0.136749 0.460240 1.236370 2.793245 5.484895 10.130882
2025-11-23 0.018779 0.121684 0.438456 1.229995 2.861191 5.734642 10.764792
2025-11-30 0.016158 0.116352 0.440996 1.276657 3.032535 6.167150 11.709418
2025-12-07 0.013471 0.109136 0.436839 1.307458 3.174479 6.554129 12.591562
2025-12-14 0.009983 0.095355 0.410571 1.283582 3.205883 6.748171 13.159802
2025-12-21 0.008259 0.089559 0.406918 1.312788 3.345477 7.138719 14.068245
2025-12-28 0.006759 0.083784 0.401990 1.338083 3.478127 7.521325 14.974155
2026-01-04 0.005452 0.077959 0.395497 1.358501 3.601385 7.890964 15.868182
2026-01-11 0.004108 0.070110 0.379929 1.353421 3.669698 8.161726 16.599527